Commercial Property

In the past five years, a staggering 6,000 retail outlets in Britain have shut due to a combination of onerous business rates and the ongoing impact of the Covid pandemic. This concerning data comes from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and Local Data Company (LDC).
During the second quarter of this year, the overall vacancy rate reached 13.9%. While there was a slight 0.1 percentage point decrease compared to Q1, it was 0.1 points higher than the same period last year. While high streets experienced a 0.1% increase in vacancies in Q2, shopping centre vacancies remained unchanged from the first quarter.
The regions with the highest vacancy rates were the North East and the Midlands, followed by Wales and Scotland. In contrast, Greater London, the South East, and the East of England recorded the lowest rates.
Lucy Stainton, the director at LDC, observed, "The headline findings from Q2 are unlikely to have come as a surprise to anyone, with economic pressure from rising interest rates and inflation already mounting as the year began." The challenges faced by businesses were further compounded by tightening discretionary spend and a dip in consumer confidence, which is reflected in the slight rise in the overall vacancy rate.
The high street has been significantly impacted, with rising rents and intensified competition placing immense strain on small and independent businesses, struggling to cope with high operating costs. Vacancy rates across various retail locations have reached concerning levels, highlighting the pressing need for redeveloping units to revive the retail sector.
The retail industry exhibits considerable diversity, with each retail and leisure subsector encountering unique challenges and strengths. Retail parks have displayed resilience, being the only location type that witnessed a decrease in long-term vacancy (more than three years) during the quarter. Their strong occupancy fundamentals and relatively smaller lot sizes have contributed to their steadfastness.
Retail parks have effectively implemented agile strategies, dividing larger units into smaller ones or repurposing space to revitalize vacant stock. While the prevailing climate is undeniably challenging, it is essential to recognize the increasing innovation and future-oriented thinking of today's retailers.
Considering the ongoing trends, it appears unlikely that there will be any improvements to the vacancy rate in the near future. However, the recent rise in vacancies has not been exceptionally significant, leading to an anticipation of gradual increases in the coming times.
Helen Dickinson OBE, the chief executive of the BRC, advocates for injecting vibrancy into high streets and town centres to prevent further store closures. A review of the flawed business rates system is essential, as an additional £400m will be added to retailers' bills next April, hindering crucial investments in communities.
While the government's announcement regarding easing changes of use for vacant units is welcomed, local councils must have a cohesive plan to prevent the creation of gap-toothed high streets that risk losing their appeal to customers and becoming unsustainable. It is crucial for the government to take further action by freezing rates bills in the upcoming year. This decisive step would send a powerful message across the retail landscape, urging positive change in the industry.